Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.001159 0.001312 0.001467 0.001634 0.001809 0.001987 0.002180
2025-05-25 0.000919 0.001138 0.001367 0.001621 0.001895 0.002179 0.002493
2025-06-01 0.000700 0.000960 0.001242 0.001565 0.001921 0.002298 0.002722
2025-06-08 0.000551 0.000841 0.001169 0.001555 0.001989 0.002456 0.002988
2025-06-15 0.000470 0.000791 0.001166 0.001618 0.002134 0.002694 0.003340
2025-06-22 0.000356 0.000687 0.001091 0.001590 0.002172 0.002812 0.003556
2025-06-29 0.000281 0.000622 0.001055 0.001604 0.002253 0.002974 0.003819
2025-07-06 0.000257 0.000622 0.001098 0.001710 0.002438 0.003251 0.004210
2025-07-13 0.000186 0.000545 0.001037 0.001685 0.002468 0.003352 0.004400
2025-07-20 0.000118 0.000456 0.000953 0.001626 0.002454 0.003398 0.004526
2025-07-27 0.000091 0.000431 0.000951 0.001668 0.002558 0.003578 0.004802
2025-08-03 0.000058 0.000384 0.000915 0.001664 0.002604 0.003691 0.005000
2025-08-10 0.000013 0.000284 0.000807 0.001581 0.002576 0.003742 0.005160
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000220 0.000744 0.001554 0.002617 0.003876 0.005418
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000150 0.000658 0.001490 0.002608 0.003951 0.005608
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000108 0.000609 0.001474 0.002659 0.004095 0.005879
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000093 0.000611 0.001531 0.002804 0.004353 0.006284
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000059 0.000558 0.001502 0.002834 0.004471 0.006523
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000040 0.000533 0.001514 0.002916 0.004651 0.006834
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000041 0.000566 0.001615 0.003118 0.004978 0.007319
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000020 0.000521 0.001591 0.003149 0.005094 0.007552
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000004 0.000459 0.001533 0.003133 0.005149 0.007712
2025-10-19 NaN 0.000001 0.000457 0.001573 0.003249 0.005368 0.008067